If one is to see the trends going on this year, it would not be difficult to put one and two together and come up with a list of 2007 Mobile and Web Predictions for Year 2007 which will help those who are looking for the next big thing to work on as their business model or to participate in the most exciting technology events next year. Here is what I think will work and not work in the area of mobile technology in 2007:
Mobile
Yes
1. Mobile Ads
Mobile Ads will be bigger with ads transversing from online to mobile seeing the potential that mobile is something everyone carries all the time and identifies the person by location and demographic (from registration and call details). Advantage of having mobile ads are more targeted and location-based ads can be used.
2. Mobile Search
Soon, you will need to search for information anywhere and at anytime. with the increaing number of wapsites that cannot be easily accessible, the need for Mobile Search Engine will definitely be felt. The availability of Mobile Search will definitely increase the numbers of wapsites.
3. Mobile Blogs
With blogging going full-time, it will definitely be useful to be able to blog anywhere, anytime using the handset. Plus, any photo you took using your phone can be uploaded into your blog anytime.
4. User Generated Contents
Exciting space to watch out where users can submit their videos, ringtones and wallpapers created using their phone for downloading by other mobile users. Explains the proliferation of application that allows user to generate and upload their own contents and films contests for videos taken using mobile phones.
Not so sure
1. WiMAX
Not sure if this network will take off with the need to build a new infrastructure to cater to this network coverage.
2. Blackberry Pearl
Very nice design and color but functionalities has yet to be tested. Might just be the next best handset to buy if you have the cash, at least you won’t fail with the support from Smartone-Vodafone’s endorsement in Hong Kong.
No
1. Mobile TV
Lack of screen size and buffering of streaming TV over insufficient bandwidth via GPRS reduces the attractiveness of using Mobile TV despite all the hype it is generating.
2. Mobile IM
Why would you want to pay for sending instant messaging if you can do it for free online? Besides, the lack of screen size to contain so many messages and the integration of operators to enable susbribers to send to friends using other operator network prevents the uptake of Mobile IM. But while Mobile IM might not take off, Mobile Group IM might in which you can send one SMS to groups of people that you have pre-set on your phone.
3. Mobile Money
There is still the issue with operators not wanting to bear the responsibilities of incurring their subscribers credit as getting subscriber’s money from their phone bill bears very high risks. Besides, merchants needs payment systems in order to allow money commerce to transact and many do not see the advantage of buying and maintaining another system if they alr can take credit card payments.
4. 3G
Hype, hype all the way. With high cost of building the infrastucture and high promises of video calls and fast Internet access, much has remain to be benefitted from this network. Perhaps, the killer application has not elevate its importance. Perhaps, it never will.
I will do a short prediction for technology, new media and web related topics for year 2007 as I am very excited about this space too:
1. Video - One would be blind to not predict video as the next best trend after what happened to YouTube. There will definitely be more innovation in video publishing, eg video search engine and directories. The greatest opportunity it still represented by those companies that will be providing the tool and means to facilitate the filtering, selection and distribution of quality video content out of the ocean of low-quality stuff being dumped out there.
2. Visual search engine - I have been very excited about this technology since 2005 but it has not gain a major following. For me, it would be great to have a search engine that returns results not using texts but also a mind-mapping scenario where you can map the resukts of your search to various criterias that you might not have thought of and how it co-relates to other results. Human are more auditory creatures anyway. Grokker has done a good job and I hope they will be the next Google
3. Immersive Virtual Worlds - Yep, ARG will still make headlines together with SecondLife where people start spending and making more money and creating more life in virtual world rather than the real world. Also, brands are advertising in a very subtle way via virtual worlds where customers need to guess, decrypt clues, immerse virtual reality into real life and interact online in order to understand what the brand is conveying or selling them. A very good example is done by Audi3 through their virtual world called The Art of The Heist.
4. P2P: Since we can never make P2P illegal, why not capitalise on it by creating a workable business model from the legions of P2P software out there from BitTorrent to Kazaa to LimeWire.
5. Anything 3D, example Instant Messaging using 3D avatar which IMVU provides, who knows, Yahoo or MSN might just do this and kill iMv with its huge subscriber following.
6. Internet-based TV: Yes, who wouldnt want to watch free TVs and movies on the Internet with their huge broadband network. This model comes together with huge potential for online advertising, thus the proliferation of companies doing this.
The best part is I am excited to be given the opportunity to tap on Singapore’s incubation program for new Interactive Digital Media projects where Media Development Authority (MDA) has allocated SGD50 million to fund innovative projects that lifts the level of technology and media industry in Singapore. I am really bursting my brains to think of good, profitable technology ideas that I can use the government’s money to play with. These trends are a great help, so let’s watch this space. Meanwhile, contact me if you have great ideas.